Public Health England (PHE) has said that it estimates 30,300 deaths and 8,151,000 infections have been prevented as a result of the COVID-19 vaccination programme, up to 25 June. This is based on modelling analysis from PHE and Cambridge University’s MRC Biostatistics Unit.
PHE also estimates that
46,300 hospitalisations have been prevented in people aged 65 or older in
England up to 27 June (approximately 7,000 admissions in those aged 65 to 74,
18,000 in those aged 75 to 84, and 21,300 in those aged 85 and over).
The methods used
to estimate deaths and infections prevented are based on direct and indirect
effects of the vaccination programme. The indirect effects of the vaccination
programme will not be incorporated into the analysis of hospitalisations
prevented, which only takes into account the direct impact of first and second
doses. Therefore the figure of 46,300 hospitalisations averted is likely to be
an underestimate.
Dr Jamie Lopez
Bernal, Consultant Epidemiologist at PHE,
said: The vaccines are very safe and very effective, and they are the best way
to protect you and those around you from becoming seriously ill with COVID-19. With
restrictions easing, it is absolutely vital that everyone gets 2 doses of the
vaccine, to protect you and those around you from the COVID-19 variants
currently circulating in the UK.
Remember, you
must book your second jab when invited, to gain maximum protection.
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